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Red443
78183.5
58153.1
6620131.2
Blue263
23142.4
6224132.0
5112138.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365297100200400500600443263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#3
183.50.5
181.6182.0
Auto25.9
Teleop130.4
End28.4
red by 41.1
23
#8
142.40.3
141.8142.1
Auto18.3
Teleop106.3
End18.1
Second
58
#1
153.10.4
151.4151.8
Auto17.8
Teleop119.9
End17.2
red by 15.1
5112
#28
138.00.4
137.3137.7
Auto13.9
Teleop110.3
End17.0
Third
6620
#25
131.20.3
129.9130.2
Auto14.6
Teleop101.0
End15.5
blue by 0.7
132.00.7
130.7131.4
Auto16.1
Teleop109.9
End8.3