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Red342
78183.5
58153.1
6620131.2
Blue286
6201135.6
178138.1
5563141.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3912910100200500600342286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#3
183.50.5
181.1181.6
Auto25.9
Teleop130.4
End28.4
red by 42.3
5563
#15
141.20.2
140.9141.2
Auto15.1
Teleop111.8
End14.7
Second
58
#1
153.10.4
150.9151.4
Auto17.8
Teleop119.9
End17.2
red by 15.1
178
#13
138.10.6
137.5138.1
Auto16.7
Teleop107.7
End16.1
Third
6620
#25
131.20.3
129.6129.9
Auto14.6
Teleop101.0
End15.5
blue by 4.3
6201
#19
135.60.5
135.0135.6
Auto17.0
Teleop104.5
End14.3