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Red237
4761121.9
2079118.7
6620131.2
Blue217
6224132.0
1735113.7
4796116.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277280150200250300350400450237217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6620
#25
131.28.4
98.1106.6
Auto14.6
Teleop101.0
End15.5
blue by 0.7
132.09.9
89.098.8
Auto16.1
Teleop109.9
End8.3
Second
4761
#24
121.97.1
110.5117.6
Auto16.0
Teleop93.3
End13.1
red by 5.6
4796
#26
116.313.5
81.394.8
Auto15.1
Teleop90.3
End9.3
Third
2079
#22
118.77.7
91.499.1
Auto15.5
Teleop84.5
End20.7
red by 5.0
1735
#40
113.77.2
104.5111.7
Auto14.9
Teleop85.8
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed