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Red198
6337131.5
5563141.2
6201135.6
Blue283
348141.3
4908139.2
6328139.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions300297150200250350400450198283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5563
#15
141.210.9
97.9108.9
Auto15.1
Teleop111.8
End14.7
blue by 0.1
348
#10
141.37.2
108.6115.9
Auto17.6
Teleop103.9
End18.6
Second
6201
#19
135.68.4
103.7112.1
Auto17.0
Teleop104.5
End14.3
blue by 3.7
4908
#11
139.210.7
97.2107.9
Auto14.4
Teleop107.8
End20.0
Third
6337
#14
131.58.4
107.5115.9
Auto17.1
Teleop101.7
End13.4
blue by 7.5
6328
#20
139.07.6
113.7121.3
Auto17.3
Teleop107.5
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed