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Red226
23142.4
415194.4
1757124.5
Blue196
4176112.1
5112138.0
2648141.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289302100200400500226196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23
#8
142.40.5
137.5137.9
Auto18.3
Teleop106.3
End18.1
red by 1.4
2648
#18
141.08.7
108.9117.5
Auto16.9
Teleop109.0
End14.3
Second
1757
#33
124.510.6
102.4113.0
Auto17.4
Teleop91.2
End9.6
blue by 13.5
5112
#28
138.08.0
99.2107.2
Auto13.9
Teleop110.3
End17.0
Third
4151
#36
94.47.6
93.0100.6
Auto14.3
Teleop76.9
End3.1
blue by 17.6
4176
#34
112.112.0
100.4112.4
Auto19.3
Teleop89.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed