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Red222
6224132.0
4176112.1
4908139.2
Blue249
4041149.5
5813152.4
157134.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions268288100150200250350400450222249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4908
#11
139.26.6
114.5121.1
Auto14.4
Teleop107.8
End20.0
blue by 13.2
152.40.6
140.4139.8
Auto24.5
Teleop114.0
End13.5
Second
132.03.1
104.1107.2
Auto16.1
Teleop109.9
End8.3
blue by 17.6
149.57.0
116.1123.1
Auto18.1
Teleop108.0
End23.3
Third
4176
#34
112.12.5
118.0120.5
Auto19.3
Teleop89.6
End2.0
blue by 22.5
157
#12
134.64.4
112.8117.1
Auto16.7
Teleop103.0
End12.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed