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Red251
166134.9
5846131.8
415194.4
Blue375
1735113.7
4761121.9
6172141.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274276150200250300350400251375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#37
134.92.7
119.5122.1
Auto15.4
Teleop100.4
End20.0
blue by 6.7
6172
#17
141.65.5
103.8109.4
Auto15.1
Teleop109.9
End21.0
Second
5846
#31
131.86.8
122.2129.0
Auto17.6
Teleop98.1
End14.3
red by 10.0
4761
#24
121.93.0
122.7125.7
Auto16.0
Teleop93.3
End13.1
Third
4151
#36
94.40.3
102.9102.6
Auto14.3
Teleop76.9
End3.1
blue by 19.3
1735
#40
113.73.7
115.2118.9
Auto14.9
Teleop85.8
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed