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Red50
416995.0
839125.2
6731108.2
Blue350
3566110.5
23142.4
6328139.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2632925010015020035040045050350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
839
#29
125.23.6
117.0120.6
Auto14.4
Teleop98.0
End13.5
blue by 17.2
23
#8
142.40.9
136.3135.4
Auto18.3
Teleop106.3
End18.1
Second
6731
#38
108.21.4
114.1115.5
Auto16.4
Teleop80.6
End13.0
blue by 30.8
6328
#20
139.04.3
125.8130.2
Auto17.3
Teleop107.5
End11.9
Third
4169
#30
95.00.5
107.7107.2
Auto16.3
Teleop71.6
End5.9
blue by 15.5
3566
#27
110.51.3
118.7117.4
Auto16.5
Teleop92.6
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed