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Red209
178138.1
1757124.5
5112138.0
Blue401
4041149.5
5000145.3
6224132.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions256285150200350400450209401

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178
#13
138.12.8
117.5120.3
Auto16.7
Teleop107.7
End16.1
blue by 11.5
149.55.1
123.1128.2
Auto18.1
Teleop108.0
End23.3
Second
5112
#28
138.02.9
114.0117.0
Auto13.9
Teleop110.3
End17.0
blue by 7.3
145.30.0
120.2120.2
Auto17.7
Teleop106.0
End24.6
Third
1757
#33
124.51.1
119.6118.5
Auto17.4
Teleop91.2
End9.6
blue by 7.5
132.01.3
107.2108.5
Auto16.1
Teleop109.9
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed