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Red188
348141.3
5112138.0
4761121.9
Blue306
5000145.3
4908139.2
178138.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3142790100200400500600188306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
348
#10
141.313.8
94.8108.6
Auto17.6
Teleop103.9
End18.6
blue by 4.0
145.315.1
82.397.4
Auto17.7
Teleop106.0
End24.6
Second
5112
#28
138.014.9
84.299.2
Auto13.9
Teleop110.3
End17.0
blue by 1.2
4908
#11
139.215.2
82.197.2
Auto14.4
Teleop107.8
End20.0
Third
4761
#24
121.913.6
97.0110.5
Auto16.0
Teleop93.3
End13.1
blue by 16.2
178
#13
138.114.9
84.799.6
Auto16.7
Teleop107.7
End16.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed