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Red262
3566110.5
166134.9
2648141.0
Blue304
5563141.2
1757124.5
4041149.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions278306100200400500262304

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2648
#18
141.013.8
95.1108.9
Auto16.9
Teleop109.0
End14.3
blue by 8.5
149.515.3
81.396.6
Auto18.1
Teleop108.0
End23.3
Second
166
#37
134.914.5
88.6103.1
Auto15.4
Teleop100.4
End20.0
blue by 6.3
5563
#15
141.215.1
82.897.9
Auto15.1
Teleop111.8
End14.7
Third
3566
#27
110.51.8
123.6121.8
Auto16.5
Teleop92.6
End4.0
blue by 14.0
1757
#33
124.514.5
87.8102.4
Auto17.4
Teleop91.2
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed