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Red341
6328139.0
157134.6
415194.4
Blue258
5846131.8
6201135.6
1757124.5
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272317100150200250350400450500341258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6328
#20
139.00.7
140.0139.3
Auto17.3
Teleop107.5
End11.9
red by 3.4
6201
#19
135.63.1
128.7131.8
Auto17.0
Teleop104.5
End14.3
Second
157
#12
134.60.8
129.8130.7
Auto16.7
Teleop103.0
End12.9
red by 2.8
5846
#31
131.81.0
134.0133.0
Auto17.6
Teleop98.1
End14.3
Third
4151
#36
94.42.6
98.395.7
Auto14.3
Teleop76.9
End3.1
blue by 30.0
1757
#33
124.50.9
124.0125.0
Auto17.4
Teleop91.2
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed