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Red202
630192.5
121144.5
1735113.7
Blue314
6153119.1
839125.2
3566110.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277280150200250300350400450202314

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
121
#23
144.51.2
143.4144.6
Auto19.6
Teleop110.4
End13.1
red by 19.3
839
#29
125.20.3
122.8122.5
Auto14.4
Teleop98.0
End13.5
Second
1735
#40
113.72.9
119.7116.8
Auto14.9
Teleop85.8
End13.7
blue by 5.4
6153
#16
119.11.8
113.7115.6
Auto15.3
Teleop89.5
End17.5
Third
6301
#32
92.51.9
88.790.6
Auto11.0
Teleop74.5
End9.4
blue by 18.0
3566
#27
110.51.3
112.4111.1
Auto16.5
Teleop92.6
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed