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Red424
27213.3
2834193.8
999993.1
Blue129
4395141.2
4384153.8
818136.1
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3972570100200300500600700800424129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#3
213.30.2
213.7213.5
Auto25.9
Teleop160.9
End24.9
red by 59.5
4384
#12
153.80.1
154.0153.8
Auto23.7
Teleop116.6
End11.5
Second
193.80.2
192.5192.7
Auto23.4
Teleop147.1
End25.8
red by 52.6
4395
#14
141.20.3
141.0141.2
Auto17.0
Teleop112.9
End13.4
Third
9999
#23
93.10.3
91.191.5
Auto12.0
Teleop74.8
End8.9
blue by 43.0
818
#15
136.10.2
135.9136.1
Auto18.7
Teleop105.5
End13.2