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Red451
27213.3
2834193.8
999993.1
Blue166
548153.6
9988137.8
24096.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4022030100300500600451166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#3
213.30.1
213.5213.4
Auto25.9
Teleop160.9
End24.9
red by 59.8
548
#10
153.60.4
152.8153.2
Auto17.5
Teleop116.2
End19.9
Second
193.80.2
192.7192.9
Auto23.4
Teleop147.1
End25.8
red by 56.0
137.80.4
137.1137.5
Auto17.9
Teleop103.3
End16.6
Third
9999
#23
93.10.4
91.591.8
Auto12.0
Teleop74.8
End8.9
blue by 3.3
240
#20
96.30.1
96.796.5
Auto16.2
Teleop77.0
End1.8