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Red101
3641179.7
1718177.5
999090.5
Blue420
4130150.7
226156.8
3322131.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3682940100200400500600101420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179.70.2
179.6179.8
Auto21.6
Teleop141.9
End14.2
red by 22.9
226
#9
156.80.1
156.5156.6
Auto19.8
Teleop120.8
End16.2
Second
177.50.4
176.8177.2
Auto20.3
Teleop127.6
End28.2
red by 26.8
4130
#17
150.70.3
150.0150.3
Auto17.5
Teleop111.1
End22.8
Third
9990
#24
90.50.3
90.290.5
Auto13.1
Teleop74.3
End3.8
blue by 40.7
3322
#21
131.30.2
130.8131.0
Auto16.8
Teleop99.9
End18.2