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Red362
3641179.7
1718177.5
999090.5
Blue172
4130150.7
226156.8
3322131.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354304100200400500600362172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179.70.0
179.8179.8
Auto21.6
Teleop141.9
End14.2
red by 22.9
226
#9
156.80.2
156.6156.8
Auto19.8
Teleop120.8
End16.2
Second
177.50.1
177.2177.3
Auto20.3
Teleop127.6
End28.2
red by 26.8
4130
#17
150.70.4
150.3150.7
Auto17.5
Teleop111.1
End22.8
Third
9990
#24
90.50.1
90.590.5
Auto13.1
Teleop74.3
End3.8
blue by 40.7
3322
#21
131.30.3
131.0131.3
Auto16.8
Teleop99.9
End18.2