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Red429
27213.3
4395141.2
3668167.4
Blue111
68152.6
999993.1
226156.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4322540100200300400500600700429111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#3
213.30.4
203.9204.4
Auto25.9
Teleop160.9
End24.9
red by 56.6
226
#9
156.82.1
180.5178.4
Auto19.8
Teleop120.8
End16.2
Second
167.40.9
167.9168.7
Auto21.8
Teleop124.6
End22.2
red by 14.8
68
#8
152.60.4
157.6157.2
Auto23.4
Teleop106.0
End21.5
Third
4395
#14
141.20.8
147.8147.1
Auto17.0
Teleop112.9
End13.4
red by 48.2
9999
#23
93.13.9
99.395.4
Auto12.0
Teleop74.8
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned63%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
25%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsMissed