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Red176
548153.6
24096.3
3414144.1
Blue413
3641179.7
818136.1
9988137.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24635806008001,0001,2001,400176413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#10
153.61.6
147.8146.1
Auto17.5
Teleop116.2
End19.9
blue by 26.1
179.71.4
191.0189.7
Auto21.6
Teleop141.9
End14.2
Second
3414
#18
144.11.3
142.6143.9
Auto16.2
Teleop113.6
End14.5
red by 6.4
137.88.1
85.793.9
Auto17.9
Teleop103.3
End16.6
Third
240
#20
96.31.0
100.9102.0
Auto16.2
Teleop77.0
End1.8
blue by 39.7
818
#15
136.11.0
137.8136.8
Auto18.7
Teleop105.5
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsMissed41%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed