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Red286
4384153.8
1718177.5
3322131.3
Blue336
3668167.4
5530151.0
5577119.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331343250300400450500286336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177.51.1
176.7175.6
Auto20.3
Teleop127.6
End28.2
red by 10.0
167.40.9
167.0167.9
Auto21.8
Teleop124.6
End22.2
Second
4384
#12
153.81.3
153.8152.5
Auto23.7
Teleop116.6
End11.5
red by 2.8
5530
#13
151.01.4
164.8163.4
Auto18.8
Teleop117.1
End14.3
Third
3322
#21
131.31.6
144.6143.0
Auto16.8
Teleop99.9
End18.2
red by 12.0
5577
#19
119.32.6
143.7141.1
Auto18.0
Teleop95.1
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
47%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed