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Red277
3322131.3
68152.6
4384153.8
Blue378
2834193.8
9988137.8
999993.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3402660100200400500600700800277378

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4384
#12
153.81.0
151.3152.3
Auto23.7
Teleop116.6
End11.5
blue by 40.0
193.80.5
184.6185.1
Auto23.4
Teleop147.1
End25.8
Second
68
#8
152.61.3
154.1152.8
Auto23.4
Teleop106.0
End21.5
red by 14.8
137.84.3
105.5109.8
Auto17.9
Teleop103.3
End16.6
Third
3322
#21
131.32.0
140.2138.3
Auto16.8
Teleop99.9
End18.2
red by 38.2
9999
#23
93.11.3
89.187.8
Auto12.0
Teleop74.8
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsEarned9%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed