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Red227
4130150.7
5577119.3
1504130.0
Blue518
548153.6
1718177.5
4395141.2
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2933800100200500227518

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4130
#17
150.71.1
155.2154.2
Auto17.5
Teleop111.1
End22.8
blue by 26.8
177.50.1
173.5173.6
Auto20.3
Teleop127.6
End28.2
Second
1504
#16
130.01.1
137.8136.7
Auto19.6
Teleop99.2
End14.6
blue by 23.6
548
#10
153.60.3
144.1144.4
Auto17.5
Teleop116.2
End19.9
Third
5577
#19
119.30.9
135.7134.8
Auto18.0
Teleop95.1
End6.6
blue by 21.9
4395
#14
141.20.6
146.1145.5
Auto17.0
Teleop112.9
End13.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsMissed65%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed33%Face the Boss oddsMissed