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Red389
999090.5
27213.3
24096.3
Blue302
3414144.1
3668167.4
51149.7
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2633600100200300400500600389302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#3
213.31.3
205.7207.0
Auto25.9
Teleop160.9
End24.9
red by 45.9
167.40.6
169.6169.1
Auto21.8
Teleop124.6
End22.2
Second
240
#20
96.30.1
102.4102.5
Auto16.2
Teleop77.0
End1.8
blue by 53.4
51
#11
149.71.9
155.3153.4
Auto18.7
Teleop112.7
End19.0
Third
9990
#24
90.51.7
88.386.6
Auto13.1
Teleop74.3
End3.8
blue by 53.6
3414
#18
144.10.8
146.5147.3
Auto16.2
Teleop113.6
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed86%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
16%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsMissed