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Red278
1718177.5
51149.7
3414144.1
Blue257
226156.8
5530151.0
999090.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3862540100200300500278257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177.50.2
173.6173.8
Auto20.3
Teleop127.6
End28.2
red by 20.7
226
#9
156.82.6
169.3166.7
Auto19.8
Teleop120.8
End16.2
Second
51
#11
149.71.7
153.4151.7
Auto18.7
Teleop112.7
End19.0
blue by 1.3
5530
#13
151.00.9
161.4160.6
Auto18.8
Teleop117.1
End14.3
Third
3414
#18
144.10.5
147.3147.8
Auto16.2
Teleop113.6
End14.5
red by 53.6
9990
#24
90.51.1
86.687.7
Auto13.1
Teleop74.3
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsEarned14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
54%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed