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Red253
3668167.4
5577119.3
2834193.8
Blue374
27213.3
9988137.8
818136.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions298372100200500600700800253374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193.80.5
186.8187.3
Auto23.4
Teleop147.1
End25.8
blue by 19.5
27
#3
213.31.5
208.9210.4
Auto25.9
Teleop160.9
End24.9
Second
167.40.8
168.4167.6
Auto21.8
Teleop124.6
End22.2
red by 29.6
137.85.6
116.1121.7
Auto17.9
Teleop103.3
End16.6
Third
5577
#19
119.32.0
133.6131.6
Auto18.0
Teleop95.1
End6.6
blue by 16.8
818
#15
136.10.2
139.2139.0
Auto18.7
Teleop105.5
End13.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsEarned59%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsMissed