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Red269
3414144.1
3322131.3
3538206.0
Blue401
1718177.5
51149.7
68152.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions329330200250300350400269401

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
206.00.8
206.0205.2
Auto20.4
Teleop162.9
End25.7
red by 28.5
177.50.3
173.8173.5
Auto20.3
Teleop127.6
End28.2
Second
3414
#18
144.10.0
147.8147.7
Auto16.2
Teleop113.6
End14.5
blue by 8.4
68
#8
152.60.1
151.8151.6
Auto23.4
Teleop106.0
End21.5
Third
3322
#21
131.31.5
136.8135.3
Auto16.8
Teleop99.9
End18.2
blue by 18.4
51
#11
149.71.8
151.7149.8
Auto18.7
Teleop112.7
End19.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsMissed84%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed62%Face the Boss oddsEarned