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Red402
3668167.4
1504130.0
226156.8
Blue215
818136.1
999090.5
4384153.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3432760100200400500600700402215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.40.9
167.6166.7
Auto21.8
Teleop124.6
End22.2
red by 13.6
4384
#12
153.80.3
153.8154.1
Auto23.7
Teleop116.6
End11.5
Second
226
#9
156.82.2
164.7162.6
Auto19.8
Teleop120.8
End16.2
red by 20.7
818
#15
136.10.2
139.0138.7
Auto18.7
Teleop105.5
End13.2
Third
1504
#16
130.01.6
134.0132.4
Auto19.6
Teleop99.2
End14.6
red by 39.5
9990
#24
90.51.6
88.590.2
Auto13.1
Teleop74.3
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
75%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed