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Red397
319190.1
133191.1
1289130.0
Blue325
125168.4
238205.8
6731116.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions389369250300350450500550600397325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#1
191.10.7
189.9190.5
Auto24.1
Teleop134.2
End32.3
blue by 14.7
238
#2
205.80.5
204.9205.4
Auto26.0
Teleop151.1
End29.8
Second
319
#4
190.10.5
189.1189.7
Auto22.5
Teleop137.8
End29.7
red by 21.7
125
#3
168.40.4
167.6168.1
Auto23.7
Teleop127.9
End15.0
Third
1289
#21
130.00.5
129.2129.6
Auto17.9
Teleop91.0
End20.9
red by 13.6
6731
#17
116.40.5
115.5116.0
Auto20.2
Teleop78.6
End19.4