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Red394
319190.1
133191.1
1289130.0
Blue293
125168.4
238205.8
6731116.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions386367250300350450500550394293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#1
191.10.6
190.5191.1
Auto24.1
Teleop134.2
End32.3
blue by 14.7
238
#2
205.80.4
205.4205.8
Auto26.0
Teleop151.1
End29.8
Second
319
#4
190.10.5
189.7190.1
Auto22.5
Teleop137.8
End29.7
red by 21.7
125
#3
168.40.4
168.1168.4
Auto23.7
Teleop127.9
End15.0
Third
1289
#21
130.00.4
129.6130.0
Auto17.9
Teleop91.0
End20.9
red by 13.6
6731
#17
116.40.4
116.0116.4
Auto20.2
Teleop78.6
End19.4