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Red118
2084136.0
3467141.4
509142.1
Blue426
6763146.1
5735156.4
811143.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293355100200400500118426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
509
#15
142.10.3
141.6141.9
Auto15.6
Teleop106.0
End24.4
blue by 14.3
156.40.1
156.0156.0
Auto25.0
Teleop117.4
End12.3
Second
141.40.1
141.7141.6
Auto20.0
Teleop114.0
End5.9
blue by 4.7
6763
#13
146.10.5
143.9144.5
Auto18.2
Teleop114.4
End14.0
Third
2084
#30
136.00.3
135.5135.8
Auto15.5
Teleop109.2
End12.4
blue by 7.6
811
#14
143.60.1
143.0143.1
Auto22.2
Teleop106.9
End14.3