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Red466
125168.4
238205.8
6731116.4
Blue312
1058178.4
4905155.8
4169112.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403320200500600466312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#2
205.80.5
203.9204.4
Auto26.0
Teleop151.1
End29.8
red by 27.4
178.40.4
177.8178.1
Auto17.2
Teleop131.6
End30.1
Second
125
#3
168.40.5
166.7167.2
Auto23.7
Teleop127.9
End15.0
red by 12.6
155.80.5
154.8155.3
Auto19.7
Teleop102.8
End33.1
Third
6731
#17
116.40.6
114.3114.9
Auto20.2
Teleop78.6
End19.4
red by 4.1
4169
#23
112.30.6
111.3111.8
Auto15.0
Teleop84.5
End13.8