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Red381
125168.4
238205.8
6731116.4
Blue84
4761127.7
2876139.4
1474115.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45423310020030040050060070080038184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#2
205.80.7
202.6203.3
Auto26.0
Teleop151.1
End29.8
red by 66.4
2876
#11
139.40.1
139.8139.7
Auto19.4
Teleop105.4
End11.6
Second
125
#3
168.40.6
165.6166.2
Auto23.7
Teleop127.9
End15.0
red by 40.7
4761
#24
127.70.0
127.8127.8
Auto17.7
Teleop92.4
End16.9
Third
6731
#17
116.40.7
113.0113.7
Auto20.2
Teleop78.6
End19.4
red by 1.3
1474
#22
115.20.3
114.8115.1
Auto17.3
Teleop83.4
End15.8