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Red425
125168.4
238205.8
6731116.4
Blue271
4761127.7
2876139.4
1474115.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454223100300400500600700800425271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#2
205.80.6
203.3203.9
Auto26.0
Teleop151.1
End29.8
red by 66.4
2876
#11
139.40.3
139.7139.4
Auto19.4
Teleop105.4
End11.6
Second
125
#3
168.40.5
166.2166.7
Auto23.7
Teleop127.9
End15.0
red by 40.7
4761
#24
127.70.1
127.8127.7
Auto17.7
Teleop92.4
End16.9
Third
6731
#17
116.40.6
113.7114.3
Auto20.2
Teleop78.6
End19.4
red by 1.3
1474
#22
115.20.1
115.1115.2
Auto17.3
Teleop83.4
End15.8