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Red414
1058178.4
4905155.8
4169112.3
Blue161
2877158.9
4909145.6
6335111.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions351328200250300400450500414161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178.40.3
177.2177.5
Auto17.2
Teleop131.6
End30.1
red by 19.6
2877
#10
158.90.8
157.5158.3
Auto19.7
Teleop121.1
End22.0
Second
155.80.5
153.8154.3
Auto19.7
Teleop102.8
End33.1
red by 10.2
145.60.8
144.2145.0
Auto15.9
Teleop118.6
End14.8
Third
4169
#23
112.30.6
110.2110.7
Auto15.0
Teleop84.5
End13.8
red by 0.7
6335
#20
111.70.5
110.9111.3
Auto15.0
Teleop90.0
End9.8