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Red535
133191.1
5556108.0
319190.1
Blue230
5122105.9
125168.4
4473121.1
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions346276100200300400500535230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#1
191.18.2
137.6145.8
Auto24.1
Teleop134.2
End32.3
red by 22.7
125
#3
168.42.0
147.9150.0
Auto23.7
Teleop127.9
End15.0
Second
319
#4
190.10.6
166.2166.8
Auto22.5
Teleop137.8
End29.7
red by 69.0
4473
#26
121.15.7
109.8115.5
Auto17.1
Teleop90.6
End18.5
Third
5556
#37
108.01.4
102.0103.5
Auto16.7
Teleop78.7
End13.6
red by 2.2
5122
#35
105.90.7
107.9108.6
Auto15.6
Teleop79.7
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsEarned41%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed