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Red198
2713131.8
6335111.7
509142.1
Blue334
3467141.4
3205117.0
6763146.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265315100200400500198334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
509
#15
142.13.4
116.9120.3
Auto15.6
Teleop106.0
End24.4
blue by 4.0
6763
#13
146.17.0
127.8134.8
Auto18.2
Teleop114.4
End14.0
Second
2713
#25
131.88.6
106.5115.0
Auto18.2
Teleop97.9
End16.1
blue by 9.6
141.42.9
131.3134.2
Auto20.0
Teleop114.0
End5.9
Third
6335
#20
111.70.6
107.9108.5
Auto15.0
Teleop90.0
End9.8
blue by 5.4
3205
#33
117.01.3
112.7114.0
Auto16.8
Teleop87.4
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed58%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed