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Red297
811143.6
6762112.3
6731116.4
Blue291
5962129.0
1474115.2
2084136.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions257293100200400500297291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
811
#14
143.60.0
141.2141.2
Auto22.2
Teleop106.9
End14.3
red by 7.6
2084
#30
136.02.8
128.2131.1
Auto15.5
Teleop109.2
End12.4
Second
6731
#17
116.41.7
105.6103.9
Auto20.2
Teleop78.6
End19.4
blue by 12.6
5962
#32
129.04.5
107.0111.5
Auto16.1
Teleop97.8
End14.4
Third
6762
#38
112.36.5
94.8101.2
Auto16.2
Teleop85.8
End11.6
blue by 2.9
1474
#22
115.20.4
104.3103.9
Auto17.3
Teleop83.4
End15.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed