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Red382
125168.4
2876139.4
2423111.5
Blue206
6731116.4
4761127.7
5962129.0
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions367234100200300400500600382206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#3
168.41.6
150.0151.6
Auto23.7
Teleop127.9
End15.0
red by 39.4
5962
#32
129.04.3
111.5115.7
Auto16.1
Teleop97.8
End14.4
Second
2876
#11
139.40.1
139.4139.3
Auto19.4
Teleop105.4
End11.6
red by 11.7
4761
#24
127.70.7
122.2122.9
Auto17.7
Teleop92.4
End16.9
Third
2423
#29
111.55.2
99.1104.3
Auto12.8
Teleop88.9
End14.1
blue by 4.9
6731
#17
116.40.6
103.9103.3
Auto20.2
Teleop78.6
End19.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed