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Red271
5752109.2
6762112.3
2877158.9
Blue117
6335111.7
1761103.6
7240111.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3022190100400500600271117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2877
#10
158.95.3
127.3132.6
Auto19.7
Teleop121.1
End22.0
red by 47.2
6335
#20
111.70.1
108.5108.6
Auto15.0
Teleop90.0
End9.8
Second
6762
#38
112.36.4
101.2107.7
Auto16.2
Teleop85.8
End11.6
red by 1.0
7240
#31
111.37.1
91.298.3
Auto14.2
Teleop87.4
End12.7
Third
5752
#36
109.20.1
111.1111.2
Auto15.1
Teleop88.2
End9.1
red by 5.6
1761
#40
103.62.2
97.899.9
Auto15.6
Teleop82.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed