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Red288
2877158.9
3467141.4
4473121.1
Blue298
509142.1
811143.6
4761127.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326286100200400500600288298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2877
#10
158.94.3
132.6136.9
Auto19.7
Teleop121.1
End22.0
red by 15.3
811
#14
143.60.3
142.0142.3
Auto22.2
Teleop106.9
End14.3
Second
141.41.8
136.1138.0
Auto20.0
Teleop114.0
End5.9
blue by 0.7
509
#15
142.12.2
121.6123.8
Auto15.6
Teleop106.0
End24.4
Third
4473
#26
121.11.9
119.5121.4
Auto17.1
Teleop90.6
End18.5
blue by 6.6
4761
#24
127.70.8
122.9123.7
Auto17.7
Teleop92.4
End16.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsEarned25%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsEarned