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Red412
5459123.0
2876139.4
4905155.8
Blue268
1058178.4
1474115.2
4311103.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311306200250350400450412268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.81.7
137.1138.8
Auto19.7
Teleop102.8
End33.1
blue by 22.6
178.40.7
176.2175.5
Auto17.2
Teleop131.6
End30.1
Second
2876
#11
139.40.2
139.3139.4
Auto19.4
Teleop105.4
End11.6
red by 24.3
1474
#22
115.20.2
104.0103.8
Auto17.3
Teleop83.4
End15.8
Third
5459
#27
123.00.1
118.6118.7
Auto13.2
Teleop93.3
End19.6
red by 19.7
4311
#39
103.32.7
109.1111.8
Auto14.9
Teleop79.2
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsEarned20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsEarned2%Face the Boss oddsMissed