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Red279
6335111.7
5752109.2
319190.1
Blue374
133191.1
2713131.8
4909145.6
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294332100200400500600279374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#4
190.12.4
168.5170.9
Auto22.5
Teleop137.8
End29.7
blue by 1.0
133
#1
191.15.6
154.4160.0
Auto24.1
Teleop134.2
End32.3
Second
6335
#20
111.70.5
108.6108.1
Auto15.0
Teleop90.0
End9.8
blue by 33.9
145.62.7
131.2133.9
Auto15.9
Teleop118.6
End14.8
Third
5752
#36
109.20.9
111.2112.1
Auto15.1
Teleop88.2
End9.1
blue by 22.6
2713
#25
131.84.5
119.8124.2
Auto18.2
Teleop97.9
End16.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed53%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed