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Red366
3467141.4
1058178.4
4169112.3
Blue350
2877158.9
1474115.2
4905155.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333286100200400500366350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178.40.6
175.5174.9
Auto17.2
Teleop131.6
End30.1
red by 19.6
2877
#10
158.92.3
136.9139.2
Auto19.7
Teleop121.1
End22.0
Second
141.40.7
138.0138.7
Auto20.0
Teleop114.0
End5.9
blue by 14.4
155.82.5
138.8141.3
Auto19.7
Teleop102.8
End33.1
Third
4169
#23
112.31.1
96.097.1
Auto15.0
Teleop84.5
End13.8
blue by 2.8
1474
#22
115.20.1
103.8103.7
Auto17.3
Teleop83.4
End15.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsEarned55%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed12%Face the Boss oddsEarned