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Red129
4906131.0
2423111.5
5752109.2
Blue124
4311103.3
4034116.9
6335111.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311236100200400500129124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4906
#19
131.04.6
131.7136.3
Auto15.5
Teleop100.7
End14.7
red by 14.2
4034
#34
116.92.9
108.7111.6
Auto13.6
Teleop92.9
End11.9
Second
2423
#29
111.51.0
108.4109.4
Auto12.8
Teleop88.9
End14.1
blue by 0.1
6335
#20
111.70.1
108.1108.1
Auto15.0
Teleop90.0
End9.8
Third
5752
#36
109.21.4
112.1113.5
Auto15.1
Teleop88.2
End9.1
red by 5.9
4311
#39
103.31.8
111.8113.6
Auto14.9
Teleop79.2
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
8%Auto Quest oddsMissed10%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed