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Red487
238205.8
5962129.0
133191.1
Blue218
5347118.0
6763146.1
7240111.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4162300100200300500600487218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
238
#2
205.82.6
186.2188.8
Auto26.0
Teleop151.1
End29.8
red by 59.8
6763
#13
146.12.6
144.4146.9
Auto18.2
Teleop114.4
End14.0
Second
133
#1
191.14.7
160.0164.7
Auto24.1
Teleop134.2
End32.3
red by 73.1
5347
#28
118.00.4
114.9115.3
Auto14.7
Teleop88.9
End15.0
Third
5962
#32
129.03.3
119.3122.6
Auto16.1
Teleop97.8
End14.4
red by 17.7
7240
#31
111.32.4
101.5103.9
Auto14.2
Teleop87.4
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsEarned33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsEarned5%Face the Boss oddsMissed