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Red386
125168.4
1965125.8
6731116.4
Blue165
4473121.1
246134.3
2713131.8
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions341283100150200250400450500386165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#3
168.41.9
153.2155.1
Auto23.7
Teleop127.9
End15.0
red by 34.1
246
#12
134.31.7
127.0128.8
Auto17.7
Teleop100.5
End16.3
Second
1965
#18
125.86.0
117.4123.4
Auto18.2
Teleop95.2
End13.2
blue by 6.0
2713
#25
131.83.8
124.2128.1
Auto18.2
Teleop97.9
End16.1
Third
6731
#17
116.40.5
103.2103.7
Auto20.2
Teleop78.6
End19.4
blue by 4.7
4473
#26
121.10.7
121.4122.1
Auto17.1
Teleop90.6
End18.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed