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Red394
509142.1
4169112.3
1474115.2
Blue153
4761127.7
5122105.9
4906131.0
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2693120200400600800394153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
509
#15
142.13.1
126.7129.9
Auto15.6
Teleop106.0
End24.4
red by 11.0
4906
#19
131.00.3
136.3136.7
Auto15.5
Teleop100.7
End14.7
Second
1474
#22
115.20.8
103.7104.5
Auto17.3
Teleop83.4
End15.8
blue by 12.6
4761
#24
127.71.1
125.1126.2
Auto17.7
Teleop92.4
End16.9
Third
4169
#23
112.31.6
97.198.8
Auto15.0
Teleop84.5
End13.8
red by 6.4
5122
#35
105.92.5
107.7105.2
Auto15.6
Teleop79.7
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed