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Red311
6763146.1
4906131.0
1474115.2
Blue460
125168.4
2877158.9
246134.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2383560100200300400500600311460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6763
#13
146.11.8
143.9142.1
Auto18.2
Teleop114.4
End14.0
blue by 22.3
125
#3
168.41.0
158.4159.5
Auto23.7
Teleop127.9
End15.0
Second
4906
#19
131.02.0
135.4133.4
Auto15.5
Teleop100.7
End14.7
blue by 27.8
2877
#10
158.90.9
146.4147.3
Auto19.7
Teleop121.1
End22.0
Third
1474
#22
115.22.1
106.2108.3
Auto17.3
Teleop83.4
End15.8
blue by 19.1
246
#12
134.31.5
127.3128.9
Auto17.7
Teleop100.5
End16.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsEarned52%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsEarned