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Red264
6324121.5
5122105.9
6335111.7
Blue310
3467141.4
7240111.3
2876139.4
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2213400100300400500600264310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6324
#16
121.51.3
118.2119.5
Auto23.2
Teleop92.3
End6.2
blue by 19.9
141.41.0
141.9142.9
Auto20.0
Teleop114.0
End5.9
Second
6335
#20
111.70.5
107.2107.7
Auto15.0
Teleop90.0
End9.8
blue by 27.8
2876
#11
139.40.3
141.6141.3
Auto19.4
Teleop105.4
End11.6
Third
5122
#35
105.90.4
102.5102.0
Auto15.6
Teleop79.7
End13.0
blue by 5.4
7240
#31
111.31.7
107.0108.7
Auto14.2
Teleop87.4
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsEarned47%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed