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Red258
4311103.3
3205117.0
1761103.6
Blue318
4473121.1
4905155.8
4169112.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2373440100200300400500258318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3205
#33
117.00.1
114.3114.2
Auto16.8
Teleop87.4
End13.1
blue by 38.8
155.82.5
146.5148.9
Auto19.7
Teleop102.8
End33.1
Second
1761
#40
103.60.3
105.3105.0
Auto15.6
Teleop82.5
End2.8
blue by 17.5
4473
#26
121.10.2
118.1117.9
Auto17.1
Teleop90.6
End18.5
Third
4311
#39
103.32.9
107.8104.9
Auto14.9
Teleop79.2
End8.3
blue by 9.1
4169
#23
112.32.4
101.1103.5
Auto15.0
Teleop84.5
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsEarned59%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsEarned